Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 clustering tightly between 35°C and 36°C because ensemble forecasts show marginal differences in daytime maximums driven by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from the Hong Kong Observatory and global systems indicate light winds, high humidity near 80 percent, and limited cloud cover that favor readings in this narrow band, with historical August baselines around 32–34°C providing context for the slight elevation. Minor variations in steering flow or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1°C, while later model updates ahead of the date may refine the consensus and influence positioning between the closely matched leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
36°C 35%
35°C 34%
37°C 18%
34°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
34%
36°C
35%
37°C
18%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 35%
35°C 34%
37°C 18%
34°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$443 KL.
<1%
32°C
$1,452 KL.
<1%
33°C
$646 KL.
3%
34°C
$818 KL.
12%
35°C
$866 KL.
34%
36°C
$908 KL.
35%
37°C
$629 KL.
18%
38°C
$1,030 KL.
5%
39°C
$4 KL.
1%
40°C
$382 KL.
<1%
41°C or higher
$390 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 clustering tightly between 35°C and 36°C because ensemble forecasts show marginal differences in daytime maximums driven by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from the Hong Kong Observatory and global systems indicate light winds, high humidity near 80 percent, and limited cloud cover that favor readings in this narrow band, with historical August baselines around 32–34°C providing context for the slight elevation. Minor variations in steering flow or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1°C, while later model updates ahead of the date may refine the consensus and influence positioning between the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,569Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 clustering tightly between 35°C and 36°C because ensemble forecasts show marginal differences in daytime maximums driven by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from the Hong Kong Observatory and global systems indicate light winds, high humidity near 80 percent, and limited cloud cover that favor readings in this narrow band, with historical August baselines around 32–34°C providing context for the slight elevation. Minor variations in steering flow or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1°C, while later model updates ahead of the date may refine the consensus and influence positioning between the closely matched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$7,569Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 clustering tightly between 35°C and 36°C because ensemble forecasts show marginal differences in daytime maximums driven by subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from the Hong Kong Observatory and global systems indicate light winds, high humidity near 80 percent, and limited cloud cover that favor readings in this narrow band, with historical August baselines around 32–34°C providing context for the slight elevation. Minor variations in steering flow or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1°C, while later model updates ahead of the date may refine the consensus and influence positioning between the closely matched leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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