High-pressure dominance across southern England is sustaining clear skies and light southeasterly winds, enabling strong daytime heating and pushing London temperatures toward the mid-30s Celsius on August 13. Official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a 35–36°C peak, with subsidence warming and urban heat-island effects providing the main upward lift. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development create the narrow spread between 35°C (leading at 43% implied probability) and 36°C (36.5%), while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current ensemble consensus. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs later today will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 13?
Highest temperature in London on August 13?
35°C 43%
36°C 37%
37°C 11%
34°C 10%
MỚI
$24,134 KL.
MỚI
$24,134 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
43%
36°C
37%
37°C
11%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 37%
37°C 11%
34°C 10%
MỚI
$24,134 KL.
MỚI
$24,134 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
30°C or below
$4,603 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,502 KL.
<1%
32°C
$922 KL.
<1%
33°C
$1,971 KL.
2%
34°C
$3,004 KL.
10%
35°C
$3,526 KL.
43%
36°C
$4,025 KL.
37%
37°C
$1,977 KL.
11%
38°C
$1,366 KL.
2%
39°C
$665 KL.
1%
40°C or higher
$573 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure dominance across southern England is sustaining clear skies and light southeasterly winds, enabling strong daytime heating and pushing London temperatures toward the mid-30s Celsius on August 13. Official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a 35–36°C peak, with subsidence warming and urban heat-island effects providing the main upward lift. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development create the narrow spread between 35°C (leading at 43% implied probability) and 36°C (36.5%), while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current ensemble consensus. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs later today will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,134Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High-pressure dominance across southern England is sustaining clear skies and light southeasterly winds, enabling strong daytime heating and pushing London temperatures toward the mid-30s Celsius on August 13. Official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a 35–36°C peak, with subsidence warming and urban heat-island effects providing the main upward lift. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development create the narrow spread between 35°C (leading at 43% implied probability) and 36°C (36.5%), while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current ensemble consensus. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs later today will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$24,134Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...High-pressure dominance across southern England is sustaining clear skies and light southeasterly winds, enabling strong daytime heating and pushing London temperatures toward the mid-30s Celsius on August 13. Official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather centers on a 35–36°C peak, with subsidence warming and urban heat-island effects providing the main upward lift. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day cloud development create the narrow spread between 35°C (leading at 43% implied probability) and 36°C (36.5%), while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given current ensemble consensus. Updated Met Office and ECMWF runs later today will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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