Current forecast consensus from regional models and monitoring agencies points to a Shanghai minimum temperature near 26–27°C on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where overnight lows rarely drop below the mid-20s absent clear skies or stronger cold advection. Recent observations through August 12–13 show daily minima holding at 25–27°C amid similar overcast and thundery weather, reinforcing trader positioning around these outcomes while leaving modest room for variance if drier air arrives. Upcoming model updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the 48-hour window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
26°C 44%
27°C 31%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
11%
26°C
44%
27°C
31%
28°C
10%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 44%
27°C 31%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$45 KL.
<1%
21°C
$35 KL.
<1%
22°C
$25 KL.
1%
23°C
$31 KL.
5%
24°C
$25 KL.
5%
25°C
$45 KL.
11%
26°C
$116 KL.
44%
27°C
$20 KL.
31%
28°C
$50 KL.
10%
29°C
$68 KL.
8%
30°C or higher
$53 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models and monitoring agencies points to a Shanghai minimum temperature near 26–27°C on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where overnight lows rarely drop below the mid-20s absent clear skies or stronger cold advection. Recent observations through August 12–13 show daily minima holding at 25–27°C amid similar overcast and thundery weather, reinforcing trader positioning around these outcomes while leaving modest room for variance if drier air arrives. Upcoming model updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$513Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models and monitoring agencies points to a Shanghai minimum temperature near 26–27°C on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where overnight lows rarely drop below the mid-20s absent clear skies or stronger cold advection. Recent observations through August 12–13 show daily minima holding at 25–27°C amid similar overcast and thundery weather, reinforcing trader positioning around these outcomes while leaving modest room for variance if drier air arrives. Upcoming model updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$513Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional models and monitoring agencies points to a Shanghai minimum temperature near 26–27°C on August 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or showers, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Yangtze River Delta, where overnight lows rarely drop below the mid-20s absent clear skies or stronger cold advection. Recent observations through August 12–13 show daily minima holding at 25–27°C amid similar overcast and thundery weather, reinforcing trader positioning around these outcomes while leaving modest room for variance if drier air arrives. Upcoming model updates from the China Meteorological Administration will refine guidance ahead of the 48-hour window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp