Close trader consensus around 26–28°C for Hong Kong’s August 14 minimum reflects short-term forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers expected from lingering South China Sea troughs. Seasonal baselines place typical August lows near 27°C, with Hong Kong Observatory guidance favoring normal to above-normal temperatures amid the region’s subtropical monsoon regime and urban heat-island effects. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal cloudiness that limits cooling, localized rainfall that raises humidity and suppresses minima, and steering winds that modulate marine air influence. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours should narrow the implied probabilities ahead of daily resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
27°C 34%
26°C 25%
28°C 19%
25°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
25%
27°C
34%
28°C
19%
29°C
5%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
26°C 25%
28°C 19%
25°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$34 KL.
1%
23°C
$0 KL.
1%
24°C
$26 KL.
2%
25°C
$0 KL.
6%
26°C
$25 KL.
25%
27°C
$0 KL.
34%
28°C
$29 KL.
19%
29°C
$0 KL.
5%
30°C
$8 KL.
5%
31°C
$28 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$231 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Close trader consensus around 26–28°C for Hong Kong’s August 14 minimum reflects short-term forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers expected from lingering South China Sea troughs. Seasonal baselines place typical August lows near 27°C, with Hong Kong Observatory guidance favoring normal to above-normal temperatures amid the region’s subtropical monsoon regime and urban heat-island effects. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal cloudiness that limits cooling, localized rainfall that raises humidity and suppresses minima, and steering winds that modulate marine air influence. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours should narrow the implied probabilities ahead of daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$380Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Close trader consensus around 26–28°C for Hong Kong’s August 14 minimum reflects short-term forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers expected from lingering South China Sea troughs. Seasonal baselines place typical August lows near 27°C, with Hong Kong Observatory guidance favoring normal to above-normal temperatures amid the region’s subtropical monsoon regime and urban heat-island effects. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal cloudiness that limits cooling, localized rainfall that raises humidity and suppresses minima, and steering winds that modulate marine air influence. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours should narrow the implied probabilities ahead of daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$380Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close trader consensus around 26–28°C for Hong Kong’s August 14 minimum reflects short-term forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers expected from lingering South China Sea troughs. Seasonal baselines place typical August lows near 27°C, with Hong Kong Observatory guidance favoring normal to above-normal temperatures amid the region’s subtropical monsoon regime and urban heat-island effects. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal cloudiness that limits cooling, localized rainfall that raises humidity and suppresses minima, and steering winds that modulate marine air influence. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours should narrow the implied probabilities ahead of daily resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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