Recent forecast runs from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northwest Europe will deliver clear skies and warm southeasterly flow to Amsterdam on August 14, supporting afternoon maxima primarily in the 32–34°C range. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched market-implied probabilities around these values, with 33°C edging ahead due to marginally more members favoring peak insolation under minimal cloud cover. Differentiation between 32°C and 34°C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and any late-day convective development. Above-average August temperatures reflect the current synoptic pattern, though official observations from KNMI will determine final resolution amid typical model divergence at this lead time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 14?
33°C 37%
34°C 24%
32°C 21%
31°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
24%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
34°C 24%
32°C 21%
31°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
$167 KL.
2%
29°C
$77 KL.
2%
30°C
$158 KL.
4%
31°C
$45 KL.
8%
32°C
$27 KL.
21%
33°C
$0 KL.
26%
34°C
$0 KL.
24%
35°C
$0 KL.
8%
36°C
$5 KL.
1%
37°C
$5 KL.
1%
38°C or higher
$5 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northwest Europe will deliver clear skies and warm southeasterly flow to Amsterdam on August 14, supporting afternoon maxima primarily in the 32–34°C range. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched market-implied probabilities around these values, with 33°C edging ahead due to marginally more members favoring peak insolation under minimal cloud cover. Differentiation between 32°C and 34°C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and any late-day convective development. Above-average August temperatures reflect the current synoptic pattern, though official observations from KNMI will determine final resolution amid typical model divergence at this lead time.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$489Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northwest Europe will deliver clear skies and warm southeasterly flow to Amsterdam on August 14, supporting afternoon maxima primarily in the 32–34°C range. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched market-implied probabilities around these values, with 33°C edging ahead due to marginally more members favoring peak insolation under minimal cloud cover. Differentiation between 32°C and 34°C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and any late-day convective development. Above-average August temperatures reflect the current synoptic pattern, though official observations from KNMI will determine final resolution amid typical model divergence at this lead time.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$489Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northwest Europe will deliver clear skies and warm southeasterly flow to Amsterdam on August 14, supporting afternoon maxima primarily in the 32–34°C range. Ensemble spreads produce closely matched market-implied probabilities around these values, with 33°C edging ahead due to marginally more members favoring peak insolation under minimal cloud cover. Differentiation between 32°C and 34°C hinges on small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and any late-day convective development. Above-average August temperatures reflect the current synoptic pattern, though official observations from KNMI will determine final resolution amid typical model divergence at this lead time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp