Forecast models from ECMWF, KNMI HARMONIE AROME, and others indicate a warm spell driven by easterly flow advecting continental air into the Netherlands, with peak solar insolation and minimal cloud cover expected to push afternoon temperatures near record or near-record levels for mid-August. Ensemble spreads create the close market split between 32°C and 33°C as the mode, with 34°C still plausible if boundary-layer mixing or timing of the thermal maximum shifts slightly higher; official guidance from sources like the Met Office currently centers on 32°C. Short-range updates over the next 24–48 hours, including revised model runs and local observations, will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution on the daily maximum recorded at Amsterdam’s official station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
33°C 37%
32°C 31%
34°C 21%
31°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
31%
33°C
37%
34°C
21%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 37%
32°C 31%
34°C 21%
31°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$693 KL.
<1%
28°C
$79 KL.
1%
29°C
$47 KL.
1%
30°C
$198 KL.
2%
31°C
$477 KL.
7%
32°C
$626 KL.
31%
33°C
$1,152 KL.
37%
34°C
$766 KL.
21%
35°C
$260 KL.
6%
36°C
$109 KL.
2%
37°C or higher
$41 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, KNMI HARMONIE AROME, and others indicate a warm spell driven by easterly flow advecting continental air into the Netherlands, with peak solar insolation and minimal cloud cover expected to push afternoon temperatures near record or near-record levels for mid-August. Ensemble spreads create the close market split between 32°C and 33°C as the mode, with 34°C still plausible if boundary-layer mixing or timing of the thermal maximum shifts slightly higher; official guidance from sources like the Met Office currently centers on 32°C. Short-range updates over the next 24–48 hours, including revised model runs and local observations, will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution on the daily maximum recorded at Amsterdam’s official station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,424Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, KNMI HARMONIE AROME, and others indicate a warm spell driven by easterly flow advecting continental air into the Netherlands, with peak solar insolation and minimal cloud cover expected to push afternoon temperatures near record or near-record levels for mid-August. Ensemble spreads create the close market split between 32°C and 33°C as the mode, with 34°C still plausible if boundary-layer mixing or timing of the thermal maximum shifts slightly higher; official guidance from sources like the Met Office currently centers on 32°C. Short-range updates over the next 24–48 hours, including revised model runs and local observations, will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution on the daily maximum recorded at Amsterdam’s official station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,424Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, KNMI HARMONIE AROME, and others indicate a warm spell driven by easterly flow advecting continental air into the Netherlands, with peak solar insolation and minimal cloud cover expected to push afternoon temperatures near record or near-record levels for mid-August. Ensemble spreads create the close market split between 32°C and 33°C as the mode, with 34°C still plausible if boundary-layer mixing or timing of the thermal maximum shifts slightly higher; official guidance from sources like the Met Office currently centers on 32°C. Short-range updates over the next 24–48 hours, including revised model runs and local observations, will likely tighten probabilities ahead of resolution on the daily maximum recorded at Amsterdam’s official station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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