**Elevated overnight minima from an intense mid-August heatwave are positioning 20–21°C as the market leaders for Paris’s lowest temperature on August 13.** Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows persistent high pressure promoting warm-air advection and strong subsidence, limiting nocturnal cooling across northern France. With daytime peaks forecast near 37–38°C on Thursday, urban heat-island effects and light winds are expected to hold the minimum around 20–22°C, well above the month’s climatological 15–16°C average. Recent model runs have shown little downward revision in these warm nighttime values, sustaining trader preference for the 19–22°C band while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes that would require an unforecasted frontal passage or greater radiational cooling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 13?
21°C 37%
20°C 20%
19°C 16%
22°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
6%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
37%
22°C
10%
23°C
8%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 37%
20°C 20%
19°C 16%
22°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$70 KL.
6%
19°C
$44 KL.
16%
20°C
$0 KL.
20%
21°C
$7 KL.
37%
22°C
$187 KL.
10%
23°C
$14 KL.
8%
24°C
$301 KL.
2%
25°C
$361 KL.
1%
26°C
$261 KL.
<1%
27°C
$12 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$12 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Elevated overnight minima from an intense mid-August heatwave are positioning 20–21°C as the market leaders for Paris’s lowest temperature on August 13.** Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows persistent high pressure promoting warm-air advection and strong subsidence, limiting nocturnal cooling across northern France. With daytime peaks forecast near 37–38°C on Thursday, urban heat-island effects and light winds are expected to hold the minimum around 20–22°C, well above the month’s climatological 15–16°C average. Recent model runs have shown little downward revision in these warm nighttime values, sustaining trader preference for the 19–22°C band while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes that would require an unforecasted frontal passage or greater radiational cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,269Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Elevated overnight minima from an intense mid-August heatwave are positioning 20–21°C as the market leaders for Paris’s lowest temperature on August 13.** Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows persistent high pressure promoting warm-air advection and strong subsidence, limiting nocturnal cooling across northern France. With daytime peaks forecast near 37–38°C on Thursday, urban heat-island effects and light winds are expected to hold the minimum around 20–22°C, well above the month’s climatological 15–16°C average. Recent model runs have shown little downward revision in these warm nighttime values, sustaining trader preference for the 19–22°C band while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes that would require an unforecasted frontal passage or greater radiational cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,269Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated overnight minima from an intense mid-August heatwave are positioning 20–21°C as the market leaders for Paris’s lowest temperature on August 13.** Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows persistent high pressure promoting warm-air advection and strong subsidence, limiting nocturnal cooling across northern France. With daytime peaks forecast near 37–38°C on Thursday, urban heat-island effects and light winds are expected to hold the minimum around 20–22°C, well above the month’s climatological 15–16°C average. Recent model runs have shown little downward revision in these warm nighttime values, sustaining trader preference for the 19–22°C band while assigning low probability to cooler outcomes that would require an unforecasted frontal passage or greater radiational cooling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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