Current short-term forecasts from sources including the BBC and European models point to clear, sunny conditions in Ankara on August 13, supporting a daily high near 31°C as the most probable outcome and explaining its leading 41.5% market-implied probability. Ankara’s continental climate and inland plateau location promote strong daytime radiative heating under high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August, with historical averages around 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary contenders at 24.5% and 18.5% respectively due to minor uncertainties in wind and cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 13?
31°C 43%
30°C 25%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
25%
31°C
43%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 25%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
26°C or below
$348 KL.
<1%
27°C
$323 KL.
<1%
28°C
$96 KL.
3%
29°C
$180 KL.
9%
30°C
$191 KL.
25%
31°C
$1,019 KL.
43%
32°C
$245 KL.
19%
33°C
$77 KL.
3%
34°C
$28 KL.
1%
35°C
$38 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$81 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from sources including the BBC and European models point to clear, sunny conditions in Ankara on August 13, supporting a daily high near 31°C as the most probable outcome and explaining its leading 41.5% market-implied probability. Ankara’s continental climate and inland plateau location promote strong daytime radiative heating under high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August, with historical averages around 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary contenders at 24.5% and 18.5% respectively due to minor uncertainties in wind and cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,625Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from sources including the BBC and European models point to clear, sunny conditions in Ankara on August 13, supporting a daily high near 31°C as the most probable outcome and explaining its leading 41.5% market-implied probability. Ankara’s continental climate and inland plateau location promote strong daytime radiative heating under high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August, with historical averages around 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary contenders at 24.5% and 18.5% respectively due to minor uncertainties in wind and cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,625Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from sources including the BBC and European models point to clear, sunny conditions in Ankara on August 13, supporting a daily high near 31°C as the most probable outcome and explaining its leading 41.5% market-implied probability. Ankara’s continental climate and inland plateau location promote strong daytime radiative heating under high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August, with historical averages around 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary contenders at 24.5% and 18.5% respectively due to minor uncertainties in wind and cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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