Trader consensus shows near-even implied probabilities between a 24°C and 23°C minimum at Incheon on August 13, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for the Seoul metropolitan area. Primary drivers include the precise timing of any overnight cloud cover or wind shifts under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, plus local urban heat island and marine influences at the coastal Incheon station versus central Seoul. Model spreads from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal passages, with historical August minima averaging near 23–24°C. New observational data and updated model runs overnight will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
24°C 43%
23°C 39%
22°C 9%
25°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
9%
23°C
39%
24°C
43%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 43%
23°C 39%
22°C 9%
25°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$105 KL.
<1%
19°C
$42 KL.
1%
20°C
$32 KL.
1%
21°C
$16 KL.
<1%
22°C
$331 KL.
9%
23°C
$147 KL.
39%
24°C
$728 KL.
43%
25°C
$133 KL.
7%
26°C
$111 KL.
3%
27°C
$203 KL.
2%
28°C or higher
$86 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows near-even implied probabilities between a 24°C and 23°C minimum at Incheon on August 13, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for the Seoul metropolitan area. Primary drivers include the precise timing of any overnight cloud cover or wind shifts under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, plus local urban heat island and marine influences at the coastal Incheon station versus central Seoul. Model spreads from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal passages, with historical August minima averaging near 23–24°C. New observational data and updated model runs overnight will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,935Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows near-even implied probabilities between a 24°C and 23°C minimum at Incheon on August 13, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for the Seoul metropolitan area. Primary drivers include the precise timing of any overnight cloud cover or wind shifts under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, plus local urban heat island and marine influences at the coastal Incheon station versus central Seoul. Model spreads from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal passages, with historical August minima averaging near 23–24°C. New observational data and updated model runs overnight will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,935Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows near-even implied probabilities between a 24°C and 23°C minimum at Incheon on August 13, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for the Seoul metropolitan area. Primary drivers include the precise timing of any overnight cloud cover or wind shifts under typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, plus local urban heat island and marine influences at the coastal Incheon station versus central Seoul. Model spreads from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight sensitivity to boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal passages, with historical August minima averaging near 23–24°C. New observational data and updated model runs overnight will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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