Recent forecast models from NOAA and local analyses point to typical mid-August conditions in Miami, with overnight lows shaped by persistent high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorm activity that can limit radiative cooling. The narrow edge for an 78-79°F minimum over 80-81°F reflects subtle differences in expected cloud cover and sea-breeze timing, which modulate how much heat escapes overnight versus being trapped near the surface. Recent observations show elevated minimums around 82-84°F amid stable subtropical ridging, keeping probabilities clustered near the long-term August average low of 78°F while highlighting model spread on exact clearing. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated National Weather Service guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 13?
80-81°F 41%
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
5%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 41%
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
69°F or below
$22 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$18 KL.
1%
72-73°F
$12 KL.
6%
74-75°F
$20 KL.
6%
76-77°F
$32 KL.
15%
78-79°F
$80 KL.
36%
80-81°F
$52 KL.
41%
82-83°F
$15 KL.
14%
84-85°F
$212 KL.
2%
86-87°F
$12 KL.
5%
88°F or higher
$18 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from NOAA and local analyses point to typical mid-August conditions in Miami, with overnight lows shaped by persistent high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorm activity that can limit radiative cooling. The narrow edge for an 78-79°F minimum over 80-81°F reflects subtle differences in expected cloud cover and sea-breeze timing, which modulate how much heat escapes overnight versus being trapped near the surface. Recent observations show elevated minimums around 82-84°F amid stable subtropical ridging, keeping probabilities clustered near the long-term August average low of 78°F while highlighting model spread on exact clearing. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated National Weather Service guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$493Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from NOAA and local analyses point to typical mid-August conditions in Miami, with overnight lows shaped by persistent high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorm activity that can limit radiative cooling. The narrow edge for an 78-79°F minimum over 80-81°F reflects subtle differences in expected cloud cover and sea-breeze timing, which modulate how much heat escapes overnight versus being trapped near the surface. Recent observations show elevated minimums around 82-84°F amid stable subtropical ridging, keeping probabilities clustered near the long-term August average low of 78°F while highlighting model spread on exact clearing. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated National Weather Service guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$493Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from NOAA and local analyses point to typical mid-August conditions in Miami, with overnight lows shaped by persistent high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorm activity that can limit radiative cooling. The narrow edge for an 78-79°F minimum over 80-81°F reflects subtle differences in expected cloud cover and sea-breeze timing, which modulate how much heat escapes overnight versus being trapped near the surface. Recent observations show elevated minimums around 82-84°F amid stable subtropical ridging, keeping probabilities clustered near the long-term August average low of 78°F while highlighting model spread on exact clearing. Traders weigh these variables ahead of updated National Weather Service guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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