Traders see Miami's August 12 high temperature most likely falling in the 92–95°F range because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to 90–92°F under typical late-summer conditions. High humidity, light southeasterly flow, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence usually cap daytime maxima near the seasonal 89°F average, while scattered thunderstorms can either suppress or briefly enhance readings depending on their timing and coverage. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with models showing only modest spread around these values and no strong signals for extremes. Historical data confirm that highs above 95°F remain uncommon without a pronounced ridge or suppressed convection.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 12?
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 6%
90-91°F 5%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 6%
90-91°F 5%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Miami's August 12 high temperature most likely falling in the 92–95°F range because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather point to 90–92°F under typical late-summer conditions. High humidity, light southeasterly flow, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence usually cap daytime maxima near the seasonal 89°F average, while scattered thunderstorms can either suppress or briefly enhance readings depending on their timing and coverage. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, with models showing only modest spread around these values and no strong signals for extremes. Historical data confirm that highs above 95°F remain uncommon without a pronounced ridge or suppressed convection.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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