Current numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles positions 33°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13, supporting the leading market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong midsummer solar insolation are driving above-average readings relative to the long-term August mean of roughly 30–31°C, with limited ensemble spread around low-to-mid 30s values. Short-range forecast updates through August 11 show stable steering patterns and minimal boundary-layer moisture that could alter peak heating, though minor shifts in timing or mixing remain possible before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13?
33°C 59%
34°C 32%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
59%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
34°C 32%
32°C 7%
35°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
59%
34°C
32%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction consensus from models such as those referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles positions 33°C as the most probable peak daytime temperature in Tel Aviv on August 13, supporting the leading market-implied probability. Persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong midsummer solar insolation are driving above-average readings relative to the long-term August mean of roughly 30–31°C, with limited ensemble spread around low-to-mid 30s values. Short-range forecast updates through August 11 show stable steering patterns and minimal boundary-layer moisture that could alter peak heating, though minor shifts in timing or mixing remain possible before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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