Market-implied odds heavily favor a Jeddah high of 41°C or higher on August 13 because mid-August climatology along the Red Sea coast routinely delivers daytime maxima of 38–43°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, warm sea-surface temperatures, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models align with this baseline, showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong cooling signals such as unusual onshore flow or cloud cover. Trader consensus therefore reflects both historical frequency of 40°C-plus readings and the absence of any short-term synoptic developments expected to suppress the peak below the leading threshold before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 13?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 13?
41°C or higher 65%
40°C 16%
39°C 12%
38°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
6%
39°C
12%
40°C
16%
41°C or higher
65%
41°C or higher 65%
40°C 16%
39°C 12%
38°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
31°C or below
$562 KL.
<1%
32°C
$562 KL.
<1%
33°C
$552 KL.
<1%
34°C
$552 KL.
<1%
35°C
$28 KL.
<1%
36°C
$1,222 KL.
1%
37°C
$824 KL.
2%
38°C
$104 KL.
6%
39°C
$425 KL.
12%
40°C
$671 KL.
16%
41°C or higher
$865 KL.
65%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a Jeddah high of 41°C or higher on August 13 because mid-August climatology along the Red Sea coast routinely delivers daytime maxima of 38–43°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, warm sea-surface temperatures, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models align with this baseline, showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong cooling signals such as unusual onshore flow or cloud cover. Trader consensus therefore reflects both historical frequency of 40°C-plus readings and the absence of any short-term synoptic developments expected to suppress the peak below the leading threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,367Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a Jeddah high of 41°C or higher on August 13 because mid-August climatology along the Red Sea coast routinely delivers daytime maxima of 38–43°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, warm sea-surface temperatures, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models align with this baseline, showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong cooling signals such as unusual onshore flow or cloud cover. Trader consensus therefore reflects both historical frequency of 40°C-plus readings and the absence of any short-term synoptic developments expected to suppress the peak below the leading threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,367Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds heavily favor a Jeddah high of 41°C or higher on August 13 because mid-August climatology along the Red Sea coast routinely delivers daytime maxima of 38–43°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, warm sea-surface temperatures, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models align with this baseline, showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong cooling signals such as unusual onshore flow or cloud cover. Trader consensus therefore reflects both historical frequency of 40°C-plus readings and the absence of any short-term synoptic developments expected to suppress the peak below the leading threshold before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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