Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and Spain’s AEMET indicate Madrid highs near 38–39°C on August 12, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns with the ongoing summer pattern of above-average temperatures following multiple 2026 heatwaves that delivered repeated 38–43°C readings across central Spain. Model consensus points to stable high-pressure dominance and warm air advection from the south, keeping extremes near historical August maxima rather than record territory. Updated short-range guidance through the weekend will determine whether readings edge toward 39°C or settle at 38°C, driving the current market concentration on these two outcomes while assigning low probability to 40°C or higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 12?
39°C 59%
38°C 39%
40°C 4%
41°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
39%
39°C
59%
40°C
4%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
39°C 59%
38°C 39%
40°C 4%
41°C 2%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
33°C or below
$177 KL.
<1%
34°C
$177 KL.
<1%
35°C
$145 KL.
<1%
36°C
$181 KL.
2%
37°C
$222 KL.
2%
38°C
$431 KL.
39%
39°C
$437 KL.
59%
40°C
$237 KL.
4%
41°C
$156 KL.
2%
42°C
$157 KL.
<1%
43°C or higher
$177 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and Spain’s AEMET indicate Madrid highs near 38–39°C on August 12, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns with the ongoing summer pattern of above-average temperatures following multiple 2026 heatwaves that delivered repeated 38–43°C readings across central Spain. Model consensus points to stable high-pressure dominance and warm air advection from the south, keeping extremes near historical August maxima rather than record territory. Updated short-range guidance through the weekend will determine whether readings edge toward 39°C or settle at 38°C, driving the current market concentration on these two outcomes while assigning low probability to 40°C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,499Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and Spain’s AEMET indicate Madrid highs near 38–39°C on August 12, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns with the ongoing summer pattern of above-average temperatures following multiple 2026 heatwaves that delivered repeated 38–43°C readings across central Spain. Model consensus points to stable high-pressure dominance and warm air advection from the south, keeping extremes near historical August maxima rather than record territory. Updated short-range guidance through the weekend will determine whether readings edge toward 39°C or settle at 38°C, driving the current market concentration on these two outcomes while assigning low probability to 40°C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,499Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and Spain’s AEMET indicate Madrid highs near 38–39°C on August 12, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns with the ongoing summer pattern of above-average temperatures following multiple 2026 heatwaves that delivered repeated 38–43°C readings across central Spain. Model consensus points to stable high-pressure dominance and warm air advection from the south, keeping extremes near historical August maxima rather than record territory. Updated short-range guidance through the weekend will determine whether readings edge toward 39°C or settle at 38°C, driving the current market concentration on these two outcomes while assigning low probability to 40°C or higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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