Recent National Weather Service guidance for Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), the official resolution station, shows a persistent marine layer moderating coastal highs near 76–79°F on August 9 despite broader heat advisories and inland warming. This pattern aligns with climatological averages for early August at LAX and explains the dominant 78–79°F market outcome. Model consensus and recent observations indicate limited afternoon clearing, capping any upside risk while keeping lower bins improbable absent an unusual onshore flow shift. Traders appear to weigh these stable marine influences heavily against seasonal norms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9?
78-79°F 51%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 3%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 51%
76-77°F 29%
80-81°F 20%
74-75°F 3%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance for Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), the official resolution station, shows a persistent marine layer moderating coastal highs near 76–79°F on August 9 despite broader heat advisories and inland warming. This pattern aligns with climatological averages for early August at LAX and explains the dominant 78–79°F market outcome. Model consensus and recent observations indicate limited afternoon clearing, capping any upside risk while keeping lower bins improbable absent an unusual onshore flow shift. Traders appear to weigh these stable marine influences heavily against seasonal norms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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