Recent short-range forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum of 12–13°C for Wellington on August 8, driven by northwesterly flow, scattered rain, and limited daytime heating under cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 13°C and 14°C because small differences in frontal timing or wind strength can shift the daily peak by 1°C, consistent with typical late-winter variability around the 12–13°C August climatological average. Near-term model updates and any late adjustments to the steering pattern will determine whether warmer advection pushes readings slightly higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 8?
13°C 53%
14°C 43%
16°C 6%
12°C 5%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
5%
13°C
53%
14°C
43%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C or higher
4%
13°C 53%
14°C 43%
16°C 6%
12°C 5%
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
5%
13°C
53%
14°C
43%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum of 12–13°C for Wellington on August 8, driven by northwesterly flow, scattered rain, and limited daytime heating under cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 13°C and 14°C because small differences in frontal timing or wind strength can shift the daily peak by 1°C, consistent with typical late-winter variability around the 12–13°C August climatological average. Near-term model updates and any late adjustments to the steering pattern will determine whether warmer advection pushes readings slightly higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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