Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature of 24–25°C in Moscow on August 10, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 43% and 32.5%. These outcomes reflect a cooling trend following early-August peaks near 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, shifting wind patterns, and moderate high-pressure influence that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs around 21–22°C, placing the current outlook slightly above baseline but well below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs from agencies such as Roshydromet and ECMWF, expected over the next 48 hours, will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 10?
24°C 43%
25°C 33%
26°C 13%
23°C 12%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
12%
24°C
43%
25°C
33%
26°C
13%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
3%
24°C 43%
25°C 33%
26°C 13%
23°C 12%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
12%
24°C
43%
25°C
33%
26°C
13%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a highest temperature of 24–25°C in Moscow on August 10, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities of 43% and 32.5%. These outcomes reflect a cooling trend following early-August peaks near 30°C, driven by increased cloud cover, shifting wind patterns, and moderate high-pressure influence that limits daytime heating. Historical climatology for mid-August shows average highs around 21–22°C, placing the current outlook slightly above baseline but well below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs from agencies such as Roshydromet and ECMWF, expected over the next 48 hours, will refine land-surface and boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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