Recent forecast model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a modest high-pressure influence over southern England for August 10, supporting peak temperatures clustered around 26–27°C in London. This places the market-implied 33.5% probability on 27°C and 27.5% on 26°C as the consensus range, reflecting ensemble agreement on light winds and limited cloud cover rather than strong advection of warmer air. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet current conditions show only modest departure. Short-range uncertainty remains due to potential small shifts in the jet stream or localized urban heat effects, with updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours that could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 10?
Highest temperature in London on August 10?
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 19%
28°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
19%
26°C
28%
27°C
32%
28°C
17%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 19%
28°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 10, 2026
22°C or below
$21 KL.
<1%
23°C
$17 KL.
1%
24°C
$14 KL.
3%
25°C
$253 KL.
19%
26°C
$37 KL.
28%
27°C
$44 KL.
32%
28°C
$53 KL.
17%
29°C
$27 KL.
9%
30°C
$36 KL.
3%
31°C
$28 KL.
2%
32°C or higher
$190 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a modest high-pressure influence over southern England for August 10, supporting peak temperatures clustered around 26–27°C in London. This places the market-implied 33.5% probability on 27°C and 27.5% on 26°C as the consensus range, reflecting ensemble agreement on light winds and limited cloud cover rather than strong advection of warmer air. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet current conditions show only modest departure. Short-range uncertainty remains due to potential small shifts in the jet stream or localized urban heat effects, with updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours that could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$718Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a modest high-pressure influence over southern England for August 10, supporting peak temperatures clustered around 26–27°C in London. This places the market-implied 33.5% probability on 27°C and 27.5% on 26°C as the consensus range, reflecting ensemble agreement on light winds and limited cloud cover rather than strong advection of warmer air. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet current conditions show only modest departure. Short-range uncertainty remains due to potential small shifts in the jet stream or localized urban heat effects, with updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours that could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$718Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a modest high-pressure influence over southern England for August 10, supporting peak temperatures clustered around 26–27°C in London. This places the market-implied 33.5% probability on 27°C and 27.5% on 26°C as the consensus range, reflecting ensemble agreement on light winds and limited cloud cover rather than strong advection of warmer air. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet current conditions show only modest departure. Short-range uncertainty remains due to potential small shifts in the jet stream or localized urban heat effects, with updated model guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours that could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp