**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10 centers on 28–29°C outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) projecting overnight lows near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and a 70–95% rain chance. Seasonal guidance reinforces the outlook: the HKO’s August–October 2026 assessment, issued at the end of July, calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions. **Key scientific drivers include the South China Sea’s warm, humid monsoon flow, which limits nocturnal cooling, combined with expected cloud cover that reduces radiative heat loss.** Recent precedent supports the range—August 6 recorded a 26°C minimum under similar conditions—while early-August model runs show little deviation from climatological lows of 26–28°C. With resolution two days away, any shift would require a clearer, drier night or an unexpected surge in moisture; otherwise, the current forecast consensus keeps 28–29°C firmly in the lead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
29°C 44%
28°C 29%
30°C 16%
26°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
29%
29°C
44%
30°C
16%
31°C
6%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
28°C 29%
30°C 16%
26°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$32 KL.
1%
25°C
$27 KL.
1%
26°C
$0 KL.
9%
27°C
$0 KL.
8%
28°C
$0 KL.
29%
29°C
$477 KL.
44%
30°C
$0 KL.
16%
31°C
$36 KL.
6%
32°C
$32 KL.
8%
33°C
$22 KL.
1%
34°C or higher
$22 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10 centers on 28–29°C outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) projecting overnight lows near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and a 70–95% rain chance. Seasonal guidance reinforces the outlook: the HKO’s August–October 2026 assessment, issued at the end of July, calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions.
**Key scientific drivers include the South China Sea’s warm, humid monsoon flow, which limits nocturnal cooling, combined with expected cloud cover that reduces radiative heat loss.** Recent precedent supports the range—August 6 recorded a 26°C minimum under similar conditions—while early-August model runs show little deviation from climatological lows of 26–28°C. With resolution two days away, any shift would require a clearer, drier night or an unexpected surge in moisture; otherwise, the current forecast consensus keeps 28–29°C firmly in the lead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$647Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10 centers on 28–29°C outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) projecting overnight lows near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and a 70–95% rain chance. Seasonal guidance reinforces the outlook: the HKO’s August–October 2026 assessment, issued at the end of July, calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions.
**Key scientific drivers include the South China Sea’s warm, humid monsoon flow, which limits nocturnal cooling, combined with expected cloud cover that reduces radiative heat loss.** Recent precedent supports the range—August 6 recorded a 26°C minimum under similar conditions—while early-August model runs show little deviation from climatological lows of 26–28°C. With resolution two days away, any shift would require a clearer, drier night or an unexpected surge in moisture; otherwise, the current forecast consensus keeps 28–29°C firmly in the lead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$647Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10 centers on 28–29°C outcomes, which together command over 70% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) projecting overnight lows near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and a 70–95% rain chance. Seasonal guidance reinforces the outlook: the HKO’s August–October 2026 assessment, issued at the end of July, calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid the long-term warming trend and current ENSO-neutral conditions. **Key scientific drivers include the South China Sea’s warm, humid monsoon flow, which limits nocturnal cooling, combined with expected cloud cover that reduces radiative heat loss.** Recent precedent supports the range—August 6 recorded a 26°C minimum under similar conditions—while early-August model runs show little deviation from climatological lows of 26–28°C. With resolution two days away, any shift would require a clearer, drier night or an unexpected surge in moisture; otherwise, the current forecast consensus keeps 28–29°C firmly in the lead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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