Recent passage of a strong cold front over the Western Cape has left Cape Town under moderating Atlantic maritime air, supporting a rebound in maximum temperatures for August 13. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate south-easterly winds, yielding official station highs most likely between 22–27°C amid typical winter variability. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing, boundary-layer mixing, and localized sea-breeze effects that could cap or boost readings at the reference station. Historical August climatology shows rare excursions above 24°C following frontal passages, yet current model spreads sustain the broad distribution of trader-implied probabilities across the 25–29°C range. Updated SAWS briefings and high-resolution runs will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 13?
27°C 35%
28°C 22%
26°C 16%
29°C 12%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
35%
28°C
22%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 35%
28°C 22%
26°C 16%
29°C 12%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
35%
28°C
22%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent passage of a strong cold front over the Western Cape has left Cape Town under moderating Atlantic maritime air, supporting a rebound in maximum temperatures for August 13. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to partly cloudy conditions with light to moderate south-easterly winds, yielding official station highs most likely between 22–27°C amid typical winter variability. Key variables include the precise timing of any clearing, boundary-layer mixing, and localized sea-breeze effects that could cap or boost readings at the reference station. Historical August climatology shows rare excursions above 24°C following frontal passages, yet current model spreads sustain the broad distribution of trader-implied probabilities across the 25–29°C range. Updated SAWS briefings and high-resolution runs will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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