Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate a typical mid-August Mediterranean high-pressure regime over Tel Aviv, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and minimal moisture supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C on August 14. Recent runs show slight stabilization after warmer conditions on the 13th, consistent with climatological averages of 30–32°C for the period and no developing heat dome or Saharan air intrusion. Trader consensus at 50% for 33°C and 32.5% for 32°C reflects this narrow range, with lower probabilities for outliers given the short forecast horizon and low model spread. Updated runs from NOAA and regional ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 14?
33°C 56%
32°C 37%
34°C 12%
29°C or below 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
37%
33°C
56%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
2%
33°C 56%
32°C 37%
34°C 12%
29°C or below 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
$12 KL.
4%
30°C
$5 KL.
2%
31°C
$83 KL.
4%
32°C
$93 KL.
37%
33°C
$98 KL.
56%
34°C
$80 KL.
12%
35°C
$23 KL.
3%
36°C
$5 KL.
4%
37°C
$5 KL.
3%
38°C
$12 KL.
3%
39°C or higher
$12 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate a typical mid-August Mediterranean high-pressure regime over Tel Aviv, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and minimal moisture supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C on August 14. Recent runs show slight stabilization after warmer conditions on the 13th, consistent with climatological averages of 30–32°C for the period and no developing heat dome or Saharan air intrusion. Trader consensus at 50% for 33°C and 32.5% for 32°C reflects this narrow range, with lower probabilities for outliers given the short forecast horizon and low model spread. Updated runs from NOAA and regional ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$428Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate a typical mid-August Mediterranean high-pressure regime over Tel Aviv, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and minimal moisture supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C on August 14. Recent runs show slight stabilization after warmer conditions on the 13th, consistent with climatological averages of 30–32°C for the period and no developing heat dome or Saharan air intrusion. Trader consensus at 50% for 33°C and 32.5% for 32°C reflects this narrow range, with lower probabilities for outliers given the short forecast horizon and low model spread. Updated runs from NOAA and regional ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$428Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international agencies indicate a typical mid-August Mediterranean high-pressure regime over Tel Aviv, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and minimal moisture supporting a daytime maximum near 32–33°C on August 14. Recent runs show slight stabilization after warmer conditions on the 13th, consistent with climatological averages of 30–32°C for the period and no developing heat dome or Saharan air intrusion. Trader consensus at 50% for 33°C and 32.5% for 32°C reflects this narrow range, with lower probabilities for outliers given the short forecast horizon and low model spread. Updated runs from NOAA and regional ensembles will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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