Official Israel Meteorological Service guidance projects a 33°C maximum for Tel Aviv on August 12 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Ensemble forecasts and regional models show modest spread, with some runs reaching 34–35°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, while historical August averages sit near 30–32°C. The near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the absence of any strong heatwave signal or model consensus shift in the latest runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 12?
34°C 46%
35°C 44%
33°C 8%
36°C 4%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
46%
35°C
44%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
35°C 44%
33°C 8%
36°C 4%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
46%
35°C
44%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Israel Meteorological Service guidance projects a 33°C maximum for Tel Aviv on August 12 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Ensemble forecasts and regional models show modest spread, with some runs reaching 34–35°C depending on boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing, while historical August averages sit near 30–32°C. The near-even market split between 34°C and 35°C reflects this narrow uncertainty range and the absence of any strong heatwave signal or model consensus shift in the latest runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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