**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a daytime maximum of 34°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 11 under clear skies and light easterly winds, with negligible precipitation chances.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes clustered tightly around 32–34°C, where 33°C holds the highest implied probability at 38% and 32°C/34°C tie at 23.5% each. Following the intense early-August 2026 heatwave that produced national records exceeding 42°C and prompted severe alerts, synoptic conditions have moderated. High-pressure dominance and reduced moisture advection now favor typical late-summer heating without the extreme amplification seen earlier, keeping the expected range within 2–3°C of the official guidance. Ensemble model consensus and historical August baselines (normally near 30–31°C) further support this band, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or urban heat-island effects at the Incheon measurement station could shift the final reading by 1°C. Upcoming KMA short-range updates and any overnight model revisions represent the key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
33°C 38%
34°C 24%
32°C 23%
31°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
38%
34°C
24%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
34°C 24%
32°C 23%
31°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
$426 KL.
<1%
28°C
$691 KL.
<1%
29°C
$36 KL.
1%
30°C
$91 KL.
4%
31°C
$94 KL.
8%
32°C
$164 KL.
23%
33°C
$531 KL.
38%
34°C
$232 KL.
24%
35°C
$197 KL.
7%
36°C
$211 KL.
2%
37°C or higher
$869 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a daytime maximum of 34°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 11 under clear skies and light easterly winds, with negligible precipitation chances.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes clustered tightly around 32–34°C, where 33°C holds the highest implied probability at 38% and 32°C/34°C tie at 23.5% each.
Following the intense early-August 2026 heatwave that produced national records exceeding 42°C and prompted severe alerts, synoptic conditions have moderated. High-pressure dominance and reduced moisture advection now favor typical late-summer heating without the extreme amplification seen earlier, keeping the expected range within 2–3°C of the official guidance. Ensemble model consensus and historical August baselines (normally near 30–31°C) further support this band, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or urban heat-island effects at the Incheon measurement station could shift the final reading by 1°C. Upcoming KMA short-range updates and any overnight model revisions represent the key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,541Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a daytime maximum of 34°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 11 under clear skies and light easterly winds, with negligible precipitation chances.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes clustered tightly around 32–34°C, where 33°C holds the highest implied probability at 38% and 32°C/34°C tie at 23.5% each.
Following the intense early-August 2026 heatwave that produced national records exceeding 42°C and prompted severe alerts, synoptic conditions have moderated. High-pressure dominance and reduced moisture advection now favor typical late-summer heating without the extreme amplification seen earlier, keeping the expected range within 2–3°C of the official guidance. Ensemble model consensus and historical August baselines (normally near 30–31°C) further support this band, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or urban heat-island effects at the Incheon measurement station could shift the final reading by 1°C. Upcoming KMA short-range updates and any overnight model revisions represent the key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,541Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently project a daytime maximum of 34°C for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 11 under clear skies and light easterly winds, with negligible precipitation chances.** This aligns with the market's leading outcomes clustered tightly around 32–34°C, where 33°C holds the highest implied probability at 38% and 32°C/34°C tie at 23.5% each. Following the intense early-August 2026 heatwave that produced national records exceeding 42°C and prompted severe alerts, synoptic conditions have moderated. High-pressure dominance and reduced moisture advection now favor typical late-summer heating without the extreme amplification seen earlier, keeping the expected range within 2–3°C of the official guidance. Ensemble model consensus and historical August baselines (normally near 30–31°C) further support this band, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or urban heat-island effects at the Incheon measurement station could shift the final reading by 1°C. Upcoming KMA short-range updates and any overnight model revisions represent the key near-term catalysts for probability shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp