**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers on a high near 99–100 °F for Dallas on August 9, 2026, under continued sunny, southwesterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation.** This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (98–99 °F at 36.5 % and 100–101 °F at 39.0 %), with the slight edge to the higher bin reflecting the latest NWS point forecast of “near 100” and ensemble guidance that keeps readings at or above 99 °F. Persistent mid-summer ridging and above-average soil dryness have sustained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas for weeks, limiting any cooling mechanism that could drop the maximum below 98 °F. The modest 15 % probability assigned to 102–103 °F accounts for the small but non-zero chance that a warmer model run or delayed sea-breeze influence could add 1–2 °F. With the event less than 24 hours away, further model updates and afternoon observations will determine which of the two leading bins resolves the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on August 9?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 9?
100-101°F 39%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
39%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 39%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
93°F or below
$10 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$27 KL.
1%
96-97°F
$905 KL.
5%
98-99°F
$266 KL.
37%
100-101°F
$124 KL.
39%
102-103°F
$62 KL.
15%
104-105°F
$178 KL.
4%
106-107°F
$103 KL.
1%
108-109°F
$46 KL.
<1%
110-111°F
$38 KL.
<1%
112°F or higher
$434 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers on a high near 99–100 °F for Dallas on August 9, 2026, under continued sunny, southwesterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation.**
This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (98–99 °F at 36.5 % and 100–101 °F at 39.0 %), with the slight edge to the higher bin reflecting the latest NWS point forecast of “near 100” and ensemble guidance that keeps readings at or above 99 °F. Persistent mid-summer ridging and above-average soil dryness have sustained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas for weeks, limiting any cooling mechanism that could drop the maximum below 98 °F.
The modest 15 % probability assigned to 102–103 °F accounts for the small but non-zero chance that a warmer model run or delayed sea-breeze influence could add 1–2 °F. With the event less than 24 hours away, further model updates and afternoon observations will determine which of the two leading bins resolves the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,193Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers on a high near 99–100 °F for Dallas on August 9, 2026, under continued sunny, southwesterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation.**
This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (98–99 °F at 36.5 % and 100–101 °F at 39.0 %), with the slight edge to the higher bin reflecting the latest NWS point forecast of “near 100” and ensemble guidance that keeps readings at or above 99 °F. Persistent mid-summer ridging and above-average soil dryness have sustained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas for weeks, limiting any cooling mechanism that could drop the maximum below 98 °F.
The modest 15 % probability assigned to 102–103 °F accounts for the small but non-zero chance that a warmer model run or delayed sea-breeze influence could add 1–2 °F. With the event less than 24 hours away, further model updates and afternoon observations will determine which of the two leading bins resolves the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,193Ngày kết thúc
Aug 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers on a high near 99–100 °F for Dallas on August 9, 2026, under continued sunny, southwesterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation.** This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (98–99 °F at 36.5 % and 100–101 °F at 39.0 %), with the slight edge to the higher bin reflecting the latest NWS point forecast of “near 100” and ensemble guidance that keeps readings at or above 99 °F. Persistent mid-summer ridging and above-average soil dryness have sustained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas for weeks, limiting any cooling mechanism that could drop the maximum below 98 °F. The modest 15 % probability assigned to 102–103 °F accounts for the small but non-zero chance that a warmer model run or delayed sea-breeze influence could add 1–2 °F. With the event less than 24 hours away, further model updates and afternoon observations will determine which of the two leading bins resolves the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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