Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high near 28°C for Toronto on August 11, 2026, positioning this as the leading outcome at 42% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 24–26°C, and current steering patterns plus limited moisture support modest warming without a heat dome or strong cold front. Model consensus clusters tightly around 27–29°C, with 27°C and 29°C holding 27.5% and 22% respectively as traders weigh minor forecast spreads in maximum temperature readings. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these near-normal values ahead of final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on August 11?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 11?
28°C 42%
27°C 28%
29°C 23%
26°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
28%
28°C
42%
29°C
23%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
28°C 42%
27°C 28%
29°C 23%
26°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 11, 2026
21°C or below
$8 KL.
<1%
22°C
$8 KL.
<1%
23°C
$8 KL.
1%
24°C
$8 KL.
1%
25°C
$42 KL.
2%
26°C
$59 KL.
9%
27°C
$8 KL.
28%
28°C
$51 KL.
42%
29°C
$237 KL.
23%
30°C
$17 KL.
5%
31°C or higher
$13 KL.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high near 28°C for Toronto on August 11, 2026, positioning this as the leading outcome at 42% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 24–26°C, and current steering patterns plus limited moisture support modest warming without a heat dome or strong cold front. Model consensus clusters tightly around 27–29°C, with 27°C and 29°C holding 27.5% and 22% respectively as traders weigh minor forecast spreads in maximum temperature readings. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these near-normal values ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$459Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high near 28°C for Toronto on August 11, 2026, positioning this as the leading outcome at 42% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 24–26°C, and current steering patterns plus limited moisture support modest warming without a heat dome or strong cold front. Model consensus clusters tightly around 27–29°C, with 27°C and 29°C holding 27.5% and 22% respectively as traders weigh minor forecast spreads in maximum temperature readings. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these near-normal values ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$459Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate sunny conditions with a daytime high near 28°C for Toronto on August 11, 2026, positioning this as the leading outcome at 42% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features average highs of 24–26°C, and current steering patterns plus limited moisture support modest warming without a heat dome or strong cold front. Model consensus clusters tightly around 27–29°C, with 27°C and 29°C holding 27.5% and 22% respectively as traders weigh minor forecast spreads in maximum temperature readings. No major shifts in guidance have emerged in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to these near-normal values ahead of final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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