Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 14 maximum temperature will likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooler-than-average pattern driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the close 37% and 28% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August highs average 22–23°C, but recent days have shown suppressed readings around 14–19°C due to transient high pressure and limited solar heating. Key differentiators between adjacent thresholds include precise timing of any afternoon clearing and local urban heat effects, with official station data from sources like Roshydromet determining resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before markets close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
18°C 37%
17°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
17%
17°C
28%
18°C
37%
19°C
16%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
17°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
$365 KL.
1%
14°C
$723 KL.
3%
15°C
$65 KL.
4%
16°C
$617 KL.
17%
17°C
$1,237 KL.
28%
18°C
$693 KL.
37%
19°C
$827 KL.
16%
20°C
$84 KL.
3%
21°C
$129 KL.
1%
22°C
$90 KL.
1%
23°C or higher
$155 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 14 maximum temperature will likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooler-than-average pattern driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the close 37% and 28% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August highs average 22–23°C, but recent days have shown suppressed readings around 14–19°C due to transient high pressure and limited solar heating. Key differentiators between adjacent thresholds include precise timing of any afternoon clearing and local urban heat effects, with official station data from sources like Roshydromet determining resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,985Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 14 maximum temperature will likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooler-than-average pattern driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the close 37% and 28% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August highs average 22–23°C, but recent days have shown suppressed readings around 14–19°C due to transient high pressure and limited solar heating. Key differentiators between adjacent thresholds include precise timing of any afternoon clearing and local urban heat effects, with official station data from sources like Roshydromet determining resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,985Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models indicate Moscow's August 14 maximum temperature will likely peak near 17–18°C amid a cooler-than-average pattern driven by northerly flow and increased cloud cover. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the close 37% and 28% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Historical August highs average 22–23°C, but recent days have shown suppressed readings around 14–19°C due to transient high pressure and limited solar heating. Key differentiators between adjacent thresholds include precise timing of any afternoon clearing and local urban heat effects, with official station data from sources like Roshydromet determining resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before markets close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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