Trader consensus on Seattle's peak temperature for August 12 centers on the mid-70s, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicating a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow typical of Pacific Northwest summer conditions. A strong subtropical high is expected to limit cloud cover and support gradual daytime warming, yet variable wind speeds and potential afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty between the 74–77°F range. Historical August averages near 75°F provide context, while model spread highlights sensitivity to exact timing of peak insolation and urban heat effects. New National Weather Service updates and morning observations will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 12?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 12?
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
31%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 37%
74-75°F 31%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
$153 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$150 KL.
2%
70-71°F
$124 KL.
3%
72-73°F
$65 KL.
11%
74-75°F
$44 KL.
31%
76-77°F
$57 KL.
37%
78-79°F
$60 KL.
14%
80-81°F
$32 KL.
5%
82-83°F
$301 KL.
1%
84-85°F
$146 KL.
<1%
86°F or higher
$120 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seattle's peak temperature for August 12 centers on the mid-70s, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicating a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow typical of Pacific Northwest summer conditions. A strong subtropical high is expected to limit cloud cover and support gradual daytime warming, yet variable wind speeds and potential afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty between the 74–77°F range. Historical August averages near 75°F provide context, while model spread highlights sensitivity to exact timing of peak insolation and urban heat effects. New National Weather Service updates and morning observations will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,252Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seattle's peak temperature for August 12 centers on the mid-70s, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicating a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow typical of Pacific Northwest summer conditions. A strong subtropical high is expected to limit cloud cover and support gradual daytime warming, yet variable wind speeds and potential afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty between the 74–77°F range. Historical August averages near 75°F provide context, while model spread highlights sensitivity to exact timing of peak insolation and urban heat effects. New National Weather Service updates and morning observations will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,252Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Seattle's peak temperature for August 12 centers on the mid-70s, driven by ensemble forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicating a stable marine layer and moderate onshore flow typical of Pacific Northwest summer conditions. A strong subtropical high is expected to limit cloud cover and support gradual daytime warming, yet variable wind speeds and potential afternoon sea breezes introduce uncertainty between the 74–77°F range. Historical August averages near 75°F provide context, while model spread highlights sensitivity to exact timing of peak insolation and urban heat effects. New National Weather Service updates and morning observations will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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