Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, consistent with late-summer climatological averages of 23–25 °C and the absence of strong warm advection. This alignment of observational trends, ensemble outputs, and typical seasonal patterns underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 24 °C (49.5 % implied probability), followed by 23 °C and 25 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns, with final high-temperature data expected from official monitoring shortly after the day concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
24°C 50%
23°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
28%
24°C
50%
25°C
18%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
$108 KL.
<1%
21°C
$487 KL.
1%
22°C
$509 KL.
4%
23°C
$780 KL.
28%
24°C
$1,008 KL.
50%
25°C
$482 KL.
18%
26°C
$114 KL.
3%
27°C
$38 KL.
2%
28°C
$165 KL.
1%
29°C
$196 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$210 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, consistent with late-summer climatological averages of 23–25 °C and the absence of strong warm advection. This alignment of observational trends, ensemble outputs, and typical seasonal patterns underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 24 °C (49.5 % implied probability), followed by 23 °C and 25 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns, with final high-temperature data expected from official monitoring shortly after the day concludes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,096Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, consistent with late-summer climatological averages of 23–25 °C and the absence of strong warm advection. This alignment of observational trends, ensemble outputs, and typical seasonal patterns underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 24 °C (49.5 % implied probability), followed by 23 °C and 25 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns, with final high-temperature data expected from official monitoring shortly after the day concludes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,096Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies such as the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw’s August 13 maximum near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, consistent with late-summer climatological averages of 23–25 °C and the absence of strong warm advection. This alignment of observational trends, ensemble outputs, and typical seasonal patterns underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 24 °C (49.5 % implied probability), followed by 23 °C and 25 °C. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns, with final high-temperature data expected from official monitoring shortly after the day concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp