Current forecasts from National Weather Service and private models indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on August 13, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with recent warm nights averaging 71–73°F amid above-normal August temperatures. Traders favor the 72–73°F bin as model consensus clusters there, while slight variations in cloud cover or wind could shift outcomes into the adjacent 70–71°F or 74–75°F ranges. Historical August minima near 70°F provide context, but urban heat island effects and moisture typically suppress deeper drops this time of year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 13?
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 29%
70-71°F 22%
76-77°F 13%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
3%
72-73°F 35%
74-75°F 29%
70-71°F 22%
76-77°F 13%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from National Weather Service and private models indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s for New York City on August 13, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points near 70°F, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with recent warm nights averaging 71–73°F amid above-normal August temperatures. Traders favor the 72–73°F bin as model consensus clusters there, while slight variations in cloud cover or wind could shift outcomes into the adjacent 70–71°F or 74–75°F ranges. Historical August minima near 70°F provide context, but urban heat island effects and moisture typically suppress deeper drops this time of year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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