**Recent forecasts indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on August 12, with the minimum temperature expected to settle in the mid-70s.** Official outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and The Weather Channel project daytime highs near 82–86°F and overnight lows around 73–75°F, consistent with a warmer-than-average August pattern highlighted by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. High humidity, light winds, and residual cloud cover from recent conditions are limiting radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping to the historical Central Park average low near 70°F. Model consensus and current observations support the market’s heavy weighting toward 74–75°F (47.5%) and 72–73°F (29.5%), as these bins align with the latest guidance and urban heat-island effects typical for the season. Upcoming National Weather Service updates and real-time station readings from LaGuardia or Central Park will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
74-75°F 48%
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 9%
76-77°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
48%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 48%
72-73°F 37%
70-71°F 9%
76-77°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$422 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$22 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$516 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$177 KL.
2%
70-71°F
$529 KL.
9%
72-73°F
$607 KL.
35%
74-75°F
$981 KL.
48%
76-77°F
$47 KL.
8%
78-79°F
$679 KL.
2%
80-81°F
$999 KL.
<1%
82°F or higher
$295 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on August 12, with the minimum temperature expected to settle in the mid-70s.** Official outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and The Weather Channel project daytime highs near 82–86°F and overnight lows around 73–75°F, consistent with a warmer-than-average August pattern highlighted by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center.
High humidity, light winds, and residual cloud cover from recent conditions are limiting radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping to the historical Central Park average low near 70°F. Model consensus and current observations support the market’s heavy weighting toward 74–75°F (47.5%) and 72–73°F (29.5%), as these bins align with the latest guidance and urban heat-island effects typical for the season.
Upcoming National Weather Service updates and real-time station readings from LaGuardia or Central Park will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,274Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on August 12, with the minimum temperature expected to settle in the mid-70s.** Official outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and The Weather Channel project daytime highs near 82–86°F and overnight lows around 73–75°F, consistent with a warmer-than-average August pattern highlighted by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center.
High humidity, light winds, and residual cloud cover from recent conditions are limiting radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping to the historical Central Park average low near 70°F. Model consensus and current observations support the market’s heavy weighting toward 74–75°F (47.5%) and 72–73°F (29.5%), as these bins align with the latest guidance and urban heat-island effects typical for the season.
Upcoming National Weather Service updates and real-time station readings from LaGuardia or Central Park will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,274Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts indicate a mild overnight period for New York City on August 12, with the minimum temperature expected to settle in the mid-70s.** Official outlooks from sources such as AccuWeather and The Weather Channel project daytime highs near 82–86°F and overnight lows around 73–75°F, consistent with a warmer-than-average August pattern highlighted by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. High humidity, light winds, and residual cloud cover from recent conditions are limiting radiational cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping to the historical Central Park average low near 70°F. Model consensus and current observations support the market’s heavy weighting toward 74–75°F (47.5%) and 72–73°F (29.5%), as these bins align with the latest guidance and urban heat-island effects typical for the season. Upcoming National Weather Service updates and real-time station readings from LaGuardia or Central Park will provide the final resolution data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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