Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum of 25°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 14 under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered at 24–26°C. Mid-August climatology features average overnight lows near 23°C amid lingering summer monsoon humidity and continental warming, with recent model runs showing limited cooling potential due to stable high-pressure influences and minimal frontal activity. AccuWeather monthly outlooks similarly project August lows in the 21–25°C range. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the consensus minimum against small uncertainties in local microclimates and any last-minute forecast revisions from updated model ensembles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
25°C 34%
26°C 25%
24°C 24%
27°C 9%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
31%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 25%
24°C 24%
27°C 9%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
7%
24°C
31%
25°C
31%
26°C
25%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum of 25°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 14 under mostly cloudy conditions, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities clustered at 24–26°C. Mid-August climatology features average overnight lows near 23°C amid lingering summer monsoon humidity and continental warming, with recent model runs showing limited cooling potential due to stable high-pressure influences and minimal frontal activity. AccuWeather monthly outlooks similarly project August lows in the 21–25°C range. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the consensus minimum against small uncertainties in local microclimates and any last-minute forecast revisions from updated model ensembles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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