Recent short-term forecasts for Chengdu highlight clear or partly cloudy conditions and light winds supporting daytime highs near 37°C on August 12, positioning this as the modal outcome in trader consensus. Chengdu’s humid subtropical climate typically sees August averages of 30–32°C, with occasional excursions above 35°C driven by subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover; current model guidance shows modest warming relative to early-month readings around 33–35°C. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm development, which could cap temperatures, versus sustained high-pressure influence that favors the 38°C tail. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 12?
37°C 42%
38°C 26%
36°C 21%
35°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
7%
36°C
21%
37°C
42%
38°C
26%
39°C
6%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 42%
38°C 26%
36°C 21%
35°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
32°C or below
$172 KL.
<1%
33°C
$27 KL.
1%
34°C
$121 KL.
3%
35°C
$331 KL.
7%
36°C
$261 KL.
21%
37°C
$363 KL.
42%
38°C
$514 KL.
26%
39°C
$259 KL.
6%
40°C
$204 KL.
3%
41°C
$72 KL.
1%
42°C or higher
$83 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts for Chengdu highlight clear or partly cloudy conditions and light winds supporting daytime highs near 37°C on August 12, positioning this as the modal outcome in trader consensus. Chengdu’s humid subtropical climate typically sees August averages of 30–32°C, with occasional excursions above 35°C driven by subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover; current model guidance shows modest warming relative to early-month readings around 33–35°C. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm development, which could cap temperatures, versus sustained high-pressure influence that favors the 38°C tail. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,407Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts for Chengdu highlight clear or partly cloudy conditions and light winds supporting daytime highs near 37°C on August 12, positioning this as the modal outcome in trader consensus. Chengdu’s humid subtropical climate typically sees August averages of 30–32°C, with occasional excursions above 35°C driven by subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover; current model guidance shows modest warming relative to early-month readings around 33–35°C. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm development, which could cap temperatures, versus sustained high-pressure influence that favors the 38°C tail. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,407Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts for Chengdu highlight clear or partly cloudy conditions and light winds supporting daytime highs near 37°C on August 12, positioning this as the modal outcome in trader consensus. Chengdu’s humid subtropical climate typically sees August averages of 30–32°C, with occasional excursions above 35°C driven by subtropical high pressure and reduced cloud cover; current model guidance shows modest warming relative to early-month readings around 33–35°C. Key uncertainties include afternoon thunderstorm development, which could cap temperatures, versus sustained high-pressure influence that favors the 38°C tail. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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