Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight scattered thundery showers and variable cloud cover over Wuhan on August 12, suppressing maximum temperatures and creating tight market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and potential convective activity typically limit afternoon heating below the seasonal average high near 32°C, while any clearing could allow brief spikes toward 31°C. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns often resolve near 29°C when moisture persists, and traders appear to weigh these dynamics against possible model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 12?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 12?
29°C 28%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
24%
29°C
28%
30°C
23%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 28%
28°C 24%
30°C 23%
31°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
$921 KL.
4%
27°C
$690 KL.
8%
28°C
$3,483 KL.
24%
29°C
$730 KL.
28%
30°C
$638 KL.
23%
31°C
$509 KL.
9%
32°C
$766 KL.
4%
33°C
$685 KL.
2%
34°C
$207 KL.
<1%
35°C
$81 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$124 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight scattered thundery showers and variable cloud cover over Wuhan on August 12, suppressing maximum temperatures and creating tight market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and potential convective activity typically limit afternoon heating below the seasonal average high near 32°C, while any clearing could allow brief spikes toward 31°C. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns often resolve near 29°C when moisture persists, and traders appear to weigh these dynamics against possible model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,835Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight scattered thundery showers and variable cloud cover over Wuhan on August 12, suppressing maximum temperatures and creating tight market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and potential convective activity typically limit afternoon heating below the seasonal average high near 32°C, while any clearing could allow brief spikes toward 31°C. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns often resolve near 29°C when moisture persists, and traders appear to weigh these dynamics against possible model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,835Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration highlight scattered thundery showers and variable cloud cover over Wuhan on August 12, suppressing maximum temperatures and creating tight market-implied odds around 28–30°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions with elevated humidity and potential convective activity typically limit afternoon heating below the seasonal average high near 32°C, while any clearing could allow brief spikes toward 31°C. Historical analogs show similar late-summer patterns often resolve near 29°C when moisture persists, and traders appear to weigh these dynamics against possible model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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