Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge and advection of hot Saharan air, are positioning Madrid for peak temperatures near 38–40 °C on August 13. Recent model runs from European and global ensembles show consensus around these values, with light winds and mostly clear skies maximizing daytime insolation while urban heat-island effects add 1–2 °C locally. Historical August climatology averages only 30–32 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the fourth heatwave episode of 2026. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud development or slight shifts in the steering flow that could trim or boost readings by 1 °C, keeping trader focus on the narrow 39–40 °C band ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 13?
39°C 50%
40°C 32%
38°C 11%
41°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
11%
39°C
50%
40°C
32%
41°C
7%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 50%
40°C 32%
38°C 11%
41°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
35°C or below
$188 KL.
<1%
36°C
$225 KL.
1%
37°C
$344 KL.
2%
38°C
$418 KL.
11%
39°C
$1,176 KL.
50%
40°C
$6,324 KL.
32%
41°C
$515 KL.
7%
42°C
$265 KL.
2%
43°C
$166 KL.
1%
44°C
$230 KL.
<1%
45°C or higher
$117 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge and advection of hot Saharan air, are positioning Madrid for peak temperatures near 38–40 °C on August 13. Recent model runs from European and global ensembles show consensus around these values, with light winds and mostly clear skies maximizing daytime insolation while urban heat-island effects add 1–2 °C locally. Historical August climatology averages only 30–32 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the fourth heatwave episode of 2026. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud development or slight shifts in the steering flow that could trim or boost readings by 1 °C, keeping trader focus on the narrow 39–40 °C band ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,966Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge and advection of hot Saharan air, are positioning Madrid for peak temperatures near 38–40 °C on August 13. Recent model runs from European and global ensembles show consensus around these values, with light winds and mostly clear skies maximizing daytime insolation while urban heat-island effects add 1–2 °C locally. Historical August climatology averages only 30–32 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the fourth heatwave episode of 2026. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud development or slight shifts in the steering flow that could trim or boost readings by 1 °C, keeping trader focus on the narrow 39–40 °C band ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,966Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across central Spain, driven by a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge and advection of hot Saharan air, are positioning Madrid for peak temperatures near 38–40 °C on August 13. Recent model runs from European and global ensembles show consensus around these values, with light winds and mostly clear skies maximizing daytime insolation while urban heat-island effects add 1–2 °C locally. Historical August climatology averages only 30–32 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the fourth heatwave episode of 2026. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud development or slight shifts in the steering flow that could trim or boost readings by 1 °C, keeping trader focus on the narrow 39–40 °C band ahead of final observational data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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