Recent forecast models from sources like Time and Date and TravelChinaGuide indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 24–26°C on August 13 amid typical late-summer humidity, light rain, and overcast skies that limit radiative cooling. This positions 26°C and 27°C as closely matched leaders, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimums driven by variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and urban heat island effects. Historical August baselines show average lows around 25–27°C, with showers often preventing deeper drops below 24°C. Traders weigh these short-range dynamics against model spreads, as clearer conditions could favor the lower end while sustained moisture supports the higher. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs will refine resolution ahead of the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?
26°C 36%
27°C 36%
28°C 14%
25°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
36%
27°C
36%
28°C
14%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
4%
26°C 36%
27°C 36%
28°C 14%
25°C 13%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
36%
27°C
36%
28°C
14%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like Time and Date and TravelChinaGuide indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 24–26°C on August 13 amid typical late-summer humidity, light rain, and overcast skies that limit radiative cooling. This positions 26°C and 27°C as closely matched leaders, reflecting uncertainty in exact minimums driven by variable cloud cover, precipitation timing, and urban heat island effects. Historical August baselines show average lows around 25–27°C, with showers often preventing deeper drops below 24°C. Traders weigh these short-range dynamics against model spreads, as clearer conditions could favor the lower end while sustained moisture supports the higher. Updated NMC or ECMWF runs will refine resolution ahead of the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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