Forecast models from meteorological services indicate a high of 15–17°C in Moscow on August 13, driven by persistent cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and possible late sprinkles that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 15°C (25.5%) and 16°C (36.5%), as August climatology normally supports highs near 20–22°C but recent model runs show cooler-than-average conditions following earlier warmth. Key resolution factors include official maximum readings from central Moscow stations, with traders incorporating the latest ensemble guidance that keeps 18°C or higher below 10% combined probability. Updated forecasts ahead of the date remain the primary near-term catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 37%
15°C 25%
17°C 21%
14°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
25%
16°C
37%
17°C
21%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 37%
15°C 25%
17°C 21%
14°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$1,473 KL.
<1%
13°C
$311 KL.
4%
14°C
$884 KL.
10%
15°C
$1,087 KL.
25%
16°C
$439 KL.
37%
17°C
$464 KL.
21%
18°C
$815 KL.
4%
19°C
$279 KL.
2%
20°C
$275 KL.
<1%
21°C
$753 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$166 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological services indicate a high of 15–17°C in Moscow on August 13, driven by persistent cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and possible late sprinkles that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 15°C (25.5%) and 16°C (36.5%), as August climatology normally supports highs near 20–22°C but recent model runs show cooler-than-average conditions following earlier warmth. Key resolution factors include official maximum readings from central Moscow stations, with traders incorporating the latest ensemble guidance that keeps 18°C or higher below 10% combined probability. Updated forecasts ahead of the date remain the primary near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,942Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological services indicate a high of 15–17°C in Moscow on August 13, driven by persistent cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and possible late sprinkles that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 15°C (25.5%) and 16°C (36.5%), as August climatology normally supports highs near 20–22°C but recent model runs show cooler-than-average conditions following earlier warmth. Key resolution factors include official maximum readings from central Moscow stations, with traders incorporating the latest ensemble guidance that keeps 18°C or higher below 10% combined probability. Updated forecasts ahead of the date remain the primary near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,942Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological services indicate a high of 15–17°C in Moscow on August 13, driven by persistent cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and possible late sprinkles that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s concentration of probability on 15°C (25.5%) and 16°C (36.5%), as August climatology normally supports highs near 20–22°C but recent model runs show cooler-than-average conditions following earlier warmth. Key resolution factors include official maximum readings from central Moscow stations, with traders incorporating the latest ensemble guidance that keeps 18°C or higher below 10% combined probability. Updated forecasts ahead of the date remain the primary near-term catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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