Current National Weather Service and UCLA forecasts for coastal Los Angeles on August 12, 2026, center on a high near 78°F under mostly sunny skies with morning low clouds and light onshore flow, aligning closely with the market’s leading 76–79°F bins that together exceed 90% implied probability. Typical August marine-layer moderation from the Pacific keeps daytime maxima below the seasonal 84–85°F average at downtown and airport stations, while weak high pressure limits extreme heating. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow ranges rather than outliers above 80°F or below 74°F.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
76-77°F 55%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 2.3%
$24,074 KL.
$24,074 KL.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 55%
78-79°F 37%
74-75°F 6%
80-81°F 2.3%
$24,074 KL.
$24,074 KL.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
55%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and UCLA forecasts for coastal Los Angeles on August 12, 2026, center on a high near 78°F under mostly sunny skies with morning low clouds and light onshore flow, aligning closely with the market’s leading 76–79°F bins that together exceed 90% implied probability. Typical August marine-layer moderation from the Pacific keeps daytime maxima below the seasonal 84–85°F average at downtown and airport stations, while weak high pressure limits extreme heating. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these narrow ranges rather than outliers above 80°F or below 74°F.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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