Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international services currently indicate a highest temperature near 35–37 °C in Guangzhou on August 13, 2026, amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and scattered showers. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the East Asian monsoon are expected to moderate peak heating relative to clearer-sky scenarios, while urban heat-island effects and southerly flow may sustain elevated readings. Trader consensus reflected in the 36 °C (36 %) leading outcome versus closely trailing 35 °C and 37 °C probabilities captures uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late intensification of convective activity. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
36°C 38%
35°C 26%
37°C 19%
34°C 12%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
26%
36°C
38%
37°C
19%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 38%
35°C 26%
37°C 19%
34°C 12%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
26%
36°C
38%
37°C
19%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and international services currently indicate a highest temperature near 35–37 °C in Guangzhou on August 13, 2026, amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and scattered showers. Cloud cover and precipitation associated with the East Asian monsoon are expected to moderate peak heating relative to clearer-sky scenarios, while urban heat-island effects and southerly flow may sustain elevated readings. Trader consensus reflected in the 36 °C (36 %) leading outcome versus closely trailing 35 °C and 37 °C probabilities captures uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late intensification of convective activity. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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