National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high temperature near or slightly below Chicago’s 1991-2020 August 12 normal of 83°F, keeping the 80-83°F bins as the clear market leaders. Primary drivers include a transitional synoptic pattern with modest southerly flow, possible lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan that often caps shoreline readings several degrees cooler than inland suburbs, and scattered cloud cover or light showers that limit daytime heating. Historical analogs show similar late-summer setups frequently produce highs in the low-to-mid 80s unless stronger ridging or clear skies develop. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and any afternoon updates from the Chicago/Romeoville NWS office that could refine the maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 12?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 12?
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 13%
MỚI
$15,100 KL.
MỚI
$15,100 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 30%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 13%
MỚI
$15,100 KL.
MỚI
$15,100 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
77°F or below
$3,704 KL.
3%
78-79°F
$2,820 KL.
13%
80-81°F
$1,684 KL.
30%
82-83°F
$853 KL.
34%
84-85°F
$988 KL.
15%
86-87°F
$908 KL.
5%
88-89°F
$1,438 KL.
1%
90-91°F
$1,559 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$483 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$328 KL.
<1%
96°F or higher
$334 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high temperature near or slightly below Chicago’s 1991-2020 August 12 normal of 83°F, keeping the 80-83°F bins as the clear market leaders. Primary drivers include a transitional synoptic pattern with modest southerly flow, possible lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan that often caps shoreline readings several degrees cooler than inland suburbs, and scattered cloud cover or light showers that limit daytime heating. Historical analogs show similar late-summer setups frequently produce highs in the low-to-mid 80s unless stronger ridging or clear skies develop. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and any afternoon updates from the Chicago/Romeoville NWS office that could refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,100Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high temperature near or slightly below Chicago’s 1991-2020 August 12 normal of 83°F, keeping the 80-83°F bins as the clear market leaders. Primary drivers include a transitional synoptic pattern with modest southerly flow, possible lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan that often caps shoreline readings several degrees cooler than inland suburbs, and scattered cloud cover or light showers that limit daytime heating. Historical analogs show similar late-summer setups frequently produce highs in the low-to-mid 80s unless stronger ridging or clear skies develop. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and any afternoon updates from the Chicago/Romeoville NWS office that could refine the maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$15,100Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high temperature near or slightly below Chicago’s 1991-2020 August 12 normal of 83°F, keeping the 80-83°F bins as the clear market leaders. Primary drivers include a transitional synoptic pattern with modest southerly flow, possible lake-breeze moderation from Lake Michigan that often caps shoreline readings several degrees cooler than inland suburbs, and scattered cloud cover or light showers that limit daytime heating. Historical analogs show similar late-summer setups frequently produce highs in the low-to-mid 80s unless stronger ridging or clear skies develop. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and any afternoon updates from the Chicago/Romeoville NWS office that could refine the maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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