Trader consensus centers on 94-95°F as the leading outcome for Houston’s daily high on August 12, 2026, reflecting climatological norms for mid-August in the city’s humid subtropical regime and recent National Weather Service guidance showing partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions typically limit extreme heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling while southerly flow off the Gulf sustains dew points near 75°F and heat indices above 100°F. Model consensus from NOAA keeps maximum temperatures in the mid-90s, with limited upside risk from drier air or clearer skies that could push readings to 96-97°F. Historical August averages near 95°F and the absence of a strong high-pressure ridge or tropical influence further anchor probabilities in this narrow range, though any shift in steering patterns or storm timing could adjust outcomes before official observations finalize.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 12?
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 15%
98-99°F 2%
$14,393 KL.
$14,393 KL.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 15%
98-99°F 2%
$14,393 KL.
$14,393 KL.
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 94-95°F as the leading outcome for Houston’s daily high on August 12, 2026, reflecting climatological norms for mid-August in the city’s humid subtropical regime and recent National Weather Service guidance showing partly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions typically limit extreme heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling while southerly flow off the Gulf sustains dew points near 75°F and heat indices above 100°F. Model consensus from NOAA keeps maximum temperatures in the mid-90s, with limited upside risk from drier air or clearer skies that could push readings to 96-97°F. Historical August averages near 95°F and the absence of a strong high-pressure ridge or tropical influence further anchor probabilities in this narrow range, though any shift in steering patterns or storm timing could adjust outcomes before official observations finalize.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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