Recent National Weather Service forecasts and local models indicate Austin highs near 101°F on August 12 amid a persistent hot, mostly dry pattern across South-Central Texas, with peak heat indices of 105–110°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early-to-mid August, when average highs reach 98–99°F and occasional 100°F+ readings occur under strong high pressure and southerly flow. Trader emphasis on the 100-101°F bin (56.5% implied probability) reflects consensus guidance from NWS point forecasts and regional outlooks showing limited cloud cover or storm disruption, while the 15.5% on 102-103°F accounts for possible model spread or localized intensification. Updated model runs and official briefings through early next week continue to anchor probabilities around these central outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 12?
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 27%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
27%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 27%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 12, 2026
91°F or below
$610 KL.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,236 KL.
<1%
94-95°F
$2,553 KL.
1%
96-97°F
$517 KL.
4%
98-99°F
$657 KL.
27%
100-101°F
$774 KL.
56%
102-103°F
$526 KL.
16%
104-105°F
$791 KL.
4%
106-107°F
$249 KL.
1%
108-109°F
$291 KL.
<1%
110°F or higher
$525 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and local models indicate Austin highs near 101°F on August 12 amid a persistent hot, mostly dry pattern across South-Central Texas, with peak heat indices of 105–110°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early-to-mid August, when average highs reach 98–99°F and occasional 100°F+ readings occur under strong high pressure and southerly flow. Trader emphasis on the 100-101°F bin (56.5% implied probability) reflects consensus guidance from NWS point forecasts and regional outlooks showing limited cloud cover or storm disruption, while the 15.5% on 102-103°F accounts for possible model spread or localized intensification. Updated model runs and official briefings through early next week continue to anchor probabilities around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,729Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and local models indicate Austin highs near 101°F on August 12 amid a persistent hot, mostly dry pattern across South-Central Texas, with peak heat indices of 105–110°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early-to-mid August, when average highs reach 98–99°F and occasional 100°F+ readings occur under strong high pressure and southerly flow. Trader emphasis on the 100-101°F bin (56.5% implied probability) reflects consensus guidance from NWS point forecasts and regional outlooks showing limited cloud cover or storm disruption, while the 15.5% on 102-103°F accounts for possible model spread or localized intensification. Updated model runs and official briefings through early next week continue to anchor probabilities around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,729Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and local models indicate Austin highs near 101°F on August 12 amid a persistent hot, mostly dry pattern across South-Central Texas, with peak heat indices of 105–110°F. This aligns with climatological norms for early-to-mid August, when average highs reach 98–99°F and occasional 100°F+ readings occur under strong high pressure and southerly flow. Trader emphasis on the 100-101°F bin (56.5% implied probability) reflects consensus guidance from NWS point forecasts and regional outlooks showing limited cloud cover or storm disruption, while the 15.5% on 102-103°F accounts for possible model spread or localized intensification. Updated model runs and official briefings through early next week continue to anchor probabilities around these central outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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