Current forecast models from agencies like INMET point to a maximum near 26°C in São Paulo on August 14, supporting the close trader consensus split between 26°C (32%) and 27°C (30%) outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a dominant subtropical high brings dry, stable air with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover create small differences in peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, and recent stable conditions without significant frontal passages have kept probabilities tightly clustered; the next model updates or official observations will likely clarify whether slight warming from reduced overnight cooling pushes the high one degree higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 14?
26°C 36%
27°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
30%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 30%
25°C 16%
28°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
21°C or below
$147 KL.
<1%
22°C
$131 KL.
1%
23°C
$60 KL.
2%
24°C
$160 KL.
5%
25°C
$159 KL.
16%
26°C
$230 KL.
36%
27°C
$533 KL.
30%
28°C
$364 KL.
8%
29°C
$568 KL.
3%
30°C
$107 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$184 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like INMET point to a maximum near 26°C in São Paulo on August 14, supporting the close trader consensus split between 26°C (32%) and 27°C (30%) outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a dominant subtropical high brings dry, stable air with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover create small differences in peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, and recent stable conditions without significant frontal passages have kept probabilities tightly clustered; the next model updates or official observations will likely clarify whether slight warming from reduced overnight cooling pushes the high one degree higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,642Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like INMET point to a maximum near 26°C in São Paulo on August 14, supporting the close trader consensus split between 26°C (32%) and 27°C (30%) outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a dominant subtropical high brings dry, stable air with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover create small differences in peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, and recent stable conditions without significant frontal passages have kept probabilities tightly clustered; the next model updates or official observations will likely clarify whether slight warming from reduced overnight cooling pushes the high one degree higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,642Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like INMET point to a maximum near 26°C in São Paulo on August 14, supporting the close trader consensus split between 26°C (32%) and 27°C (30%) outcomes. In the Southern Hemisphere winter, a dominant subtropical high brings dry, stable air with limited moisture advection from the Atlantic, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover create small differences in peak readings. Historical August averages hover around 23–25°C, and recent stable conditions without significant frontal passages have kept probabilities tightly clustered; the next model updates or official observations will likely clarify whether slight warming from reduced overnight cooling pushes the high one degree higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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