Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 15 point to a maximum near 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus around 26 °C. Late-summer conditions, including moderate northerly flow, Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes, and partial cloud cover, typically suppress peak heating and keep extremes unlikely. Recent model guidance from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows subtle cooling tied to boundary-layer moisture and onshore timing, shifting implied probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal 27–29 °C climatological range. With resolution imminent, updated short-range runs and any late adjustments in onshore flow will be the key variables for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
26°C 59%
25°C 22%
27°C 16%
24°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
22%
26°C
59%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 59%
25°C 22%
27°C 16%
24°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$97 KL.
1%
23°C
$123 KL.
2%
24°C
$225 KL.
4%
25°C
$136 KL.
22%
26°C
$767 KL.
59%
27°C
$70 KL.
16%
28°C
$360 KL.
4%
29°C
$152 KL.
1%
30°C
$12 KL.
2%
31°C
$12 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$115 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 15 point to a maximum near 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus around 26 °C. Late-summer conditions, including moderate northerly flow, Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes, and partial cloud cover, typically suppress peak heating and keep extremes unlikely. Recent model guidance from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows subtle cooling tied to boundary-layer moisture and onshore timing, shifting implied probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal 27–29 °C climatological range. With resolution imminent, updated short-range runs and any late adjustments in onshore flow will be the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,069Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 15 point to a maximum near 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus around 26 °C. Late-summer conditions, including moderate northerly flow, Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes, and partial cloud cover, typically suppress peak heating and keep extremes unlikely. Recent model guidance from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows subtle cooling tied to boundary-layer moisture and onshore timing, shifting implied probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal 27–29 °C climatological range. With resolution imminent, updated short-range runs and any late adjustments in onshore flow will be the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,069Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 15 point to a maximum near 26–28 °C, aligning with the market’s strong consensus around 26 °C. Late-summer conditions, including moderate northerly flow, Bosphorus and Black Sea sea breezes, and partial cloud cover, typically suppress peak heating and keep extremes unlikely. Recent model guidance from sources such as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows subtle cooling tied to boundary-layer moisture and onshore timing, shifting implied probabilities toward the lower end of the seasonal 27–29 °C climatological range. With resolution imminent, updated short-range runs and any late adjustments in onshore flow will be the key variables for traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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