Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate mostly sunny conditions for Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes at 36–38°C. Recent model runs show limited cloud cover or precipitation risk through mid-month, supporting the 41% and 26% probabilities for 37°C and 38°C. Traders weigh typical August climatology (30–35°C averages) against occasional heat-wave spikes driven by subtropical high pressure and clear skies that enhance solar heating, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings amid normal forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
37°C 42%
38°C 26%
36°C 20%
35°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
20%
37°C
42%
38°C
26%
39°C
5%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 42%
38°C 26%
36°C 20%
35°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$153 KL.
1%
33°C
$106 KL.
1%
34°C
$245 KL.
2%
35°C
$78 KL.
5%
36°C
$104 KL.
20%
37°C
$1,875 KL.
42%
38°C
$306 KL.
26%
39°C
$195 KL.
5%
40°C
$177 KL.
3%
41°C
$40 KL.
1%
42°C or higher
$67 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate mostly sunny conditions for Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes at 36–38°C. Recent model runs show limited cloud cover or precipitation risk through mid-month, supporting the 41% and 26% probabilities for 37°C and 38°C. Traders weigh typical August climatology (30–35°C averages) against occasional heat-wave spikes driven by subtropical high pressure and clear skies that enhance solar heating, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings amid normal forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,347Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate mostly sunny conditions for Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes at 36–38°C. Recent model runs show limited cloud cover or precipitation risk through mid-month, supporting the 41% and 26% probabilities for 37°C and 38°C. Traders weigh typical August climatology (30–35°C averages) against occasional heat-wave spikes driven by subtropical high pressure and clear skies that enhance solar heating, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings amid normal forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,347Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate mostly sunny conditions for Chengdu on August 13, with daytime highs centered around 37–38°C, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes at 36–38°C. Recent model runs show limited cloud cover or precipitation risk through mid-month, supporting the 41% and 26% probabilities for 37°C and 38°C. Traders weigh typical August climatology (30–35°C averages) against occasional heat-wave spikes driven by subtropical high pressure and clear skies that enhance solar heating, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings amid normal forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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