Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 17, driven by overnight cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling amid high humidity typical of late summer. Ensemble models show limited overnight drops due to these conditions and weak steering winds, aligning with historical August lows near 22–24°C. Trader consensus centers on 23–25°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity that could nudge the low slightly lower or allow marginal warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from KMA and global ensembles, will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 17?
23°C 37%
24°C 28%
25°C 23%
26°C 12%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
37%
24°C
28%
25°C
23%
26°C
12%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 37%
24°C 28%
25°C 23%
26°C 12%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
37%
24°C
28%
25°C
23%
26°C
12%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 17, driven by overnight cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling amid high humidity typical of late summer. Ensemble models show limited overnight drops due to these conditions and weak steering winds, aligning with historical August lows near 22–24°C. Trader consensus centers on 23–25°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity that could nudge the low slightly lower or allow marginal warming. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours, particularly from KMA and global ensembles, will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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