Current Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance projects a minimum temperature near 25°C at Incheon on August 16 amid mostly cloudy skies and 20% precipitation probability, aligning with ensemble model consensus for the Seoul metropolitan area. Incoming rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern is expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling and introduce modest evaporative effects, supporting trader emphasis on the 24–25°C outcomes that together exceed 70% implied probability. High humidity and light winds typical of the season further anchor overnight lows in this narrow band, consistent with recent mid-August observations during the ongoing heatwave period. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
24°C 41%
25°C 27%
23°C 16%
26°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
41%
25°C
27%
26°C
10%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
25°C 27%
23°C 16%
26°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
$27 KL.
1%
20°C
$17 KL.
1%
21°C
$38 KL.
3%
22°C
$154 KL.
5%
23°C
$63 KL.
16%
24°C
$814 KL.
41%
25°C
$43 KL.
27%
26°C
$30 KL.
10%
27°C
$18 KL.
4%
28°C
$12 KL.
1%
29°C or higher
$22 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance projects a minimum temperature near 25°C at Incheon on August 16 amid mostly cloudy skies and 20% precipitation probability, aligning with ensemble model consensus for the Seoul metropolitan area. Incoming rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern is expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling and introduce modest evaporative effects, supporting trader emphasis on the 24–25°C outcomes that together exceed 70% implied probability. High humidity and light winds typical of the season further anchor overnight lows in this narrow band, consistent with recent mid-August observations during the ongoing heatwave period. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,236Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance projects a minimum temperature near 25°C at Incheon on August 16 amid mostly cloudy skies and 20% precipitation probability, aligning with ensemble model consensus for the Seoul metropolitan area. Incoming rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern is expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling and introduce modest evaporative effects, supporting trader emphasis on the 24–25°C outcomes that together exceed 70% implied probability. High humidity and light winds typical of the season further anchor overnight lows in this narrow band, consistent with recent mid-August observations during the ongoing heatwave period. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,236Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance projects a minimum temperature near 25°C at Incheon on August 16 amid mostly cloudy skies and 20% precipitation probability, aligning with ensemble model consensus for the Seoul metropolitan area. Incoming rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern is expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling and introduce modest evaporative effects, supporting trader emphasis on the 24–25°C outcomes that together exceed 70% implied probability. High humidity and light winds typical of the season further anchor overnight lows in this narrow band, consistent with recent mid-August observations during the ongoing heatwave period. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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