Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (45.5%) and 27°C (26%). Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm, subsiding air under high pressure and light northerly winds—favor temperatures near the 27–28°C seasonal average, with limited moisture and cloud cover preventing significant cooling or intensification. Recent runs show stable guidance with only modest day-to-day adjustments, while historical analogs indicate rare deviations beyond ±2°C at this time of year. Updated high-resolution forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
26°C 46%
27°C 27%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
46%
27°C
27%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 46%
27°C 27%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$293 KL.
<1%
23°C
$126 KL.
2%
24°C
$3 KL.
5%
25°C
$54 KL.
17%
26°C
$598 KL.
46%
27°C
$237 KL.
27%
28°C
$87 KL.
6%
29°C
$76 KL.
2%
30°C
$140 KL.
3%
31°C
$281 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$15 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (45.5%) and 27°C (26%). Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm, subsiding air under high pressure and light northerly winds—favor temperatures near the 27–28°C seasonal average, with limited moisture and cloud cover preventing significant cooling or intensification. Recent runs show stable guidance with only modest day-to-day adjustments, while historical analogs indicate rare deviations beyond ±2°C at this time of year. Updated high-resolution forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,910Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (45.5%) and 27°C (26%). Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm, subsiding air under high pressure and light northerly winds—favor temperatures near the 27–28°C seasonal average, with limited moisture and cloud cover preventing significant cooling or intensification. Recent runs show stable guidance with only modest day-to-day adjustments, while historical analogs indicate rare deviations beyond ±2°C at this time of year. Updated high-resolution forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,910Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily maximum of 26–28°C for Istanbul on August 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 26°C (45.5%) and 27°C (26%). Late-summer Mediterranean conditions—warm, subsiding air under high pressure and light northerly winds—favor temperatures near the 27–28°C seasonal average, with limited moisture and cloud cover preventing significant cooling or intensification. Recent runs show stable guidance with only modest day-to-day adjustments, while historical analogs indicate rare deviations beyond ±2°C at this time of year. Updated high-resolution forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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