Current forecasts from regional meteorological models and agencies indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C in São Paulo on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical subsidence and moderate insolation under partly to mostly cloudy skies limit heating, with recent observations showing overcast conditions and light winds that further moderate peaks near the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this value, though slight clearing could support 25°C (22% odds) while persistent cloud favors 23°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day remain key variables for any late shifts in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 15?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 15?
24°C 50%
22°C 27.5%
25°C 15%
23°C 12%
$24,222 KL.
$24,222 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
24%
23°C
12%
24°C
50%
25°C
15%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
22°C 27.5%
25°C 15%
23°C 12%
$24,222 KL.
$24,222 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$4,677 KL.
1%
21°C
$858 KL.
4%
22°C
$1,076 KL.
24%
23°C
$5,431 KL.
12%
24°C
$1,797 KL.
50%
25°C
$2,552 KL.
15%
26°C
$4,434 KL.
6%
27°C
$1,928 KL.
2%
28°C
$449 KL.
<1%
29°C
$653 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$367 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models and agencies indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C in São Paulo on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical subsidence and moderate insolation under partly to mostly cloudy skies limit heating, with recent observations showing overcast conditions and light winds that further moderate peaks near the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this value, though slight clearing could support 25°C (22% odds) while persistent cloud favors 23°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day remain key variables for any late shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,222Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models and agencies indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C in São Paulo on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical subsidence and moderate insolation under partly to mostly cloudy skies limit heating, with recent observations showing overcast conditions and light winds that further moderate peaks near the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this value, though slight clearing could support 25°C (22% odds) while persistent cloud favors 23°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day remain key variables for any late shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$24,222Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional meteorological models and agencies indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C in São Paulo on August 15, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that outcome. In Southern Hemisphere winter, typical subsidence and moderate insolation under partly to mostly cloudy skies limit heating, with recent observations showing overcast conditions and light winds that further moderate peaks near the long-term August average of 23–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around this value, though slight clearing could support 25°C (22% odds) while persistent cloud favors 23°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day remain key variables for any late shifts in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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