Forecast models from meteorological agencies consistently project a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 15, 2026, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure patterns, elevated humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling amid widespread cloud cover and light rain. Official guidance places the daily range near 26–29°C, aligning with historical August climatology where nighttime lows rarely dip below this threshold without significant synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for 26°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or enhanced evaporative cooling from heavier precipitation, though current observations show no such development imminent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
26°C 97%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
MỚI
$37,731 KL.
MỚI
$37,731 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
97%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 97%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
MỚI
$37,731 KL.
MỚI
$37,731 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$301 KL.
<1%
21°C
$308 KL.
<1%
22°C
$535 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,277 KL.
<1%
24°C
$734 KL.
2%
25°C
$2,780 KL.
3%
26°C
$4,214 KL.
97%
27°C
$25,079 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,789 KL.
<1%
29°C
$508 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$206 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies consistently project a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 15, 2026, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure patterns, elevated humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling amid widespread cloud cover and light rain. Official guidance places the daily range near 26–29°C, aligning with historical August climatology where nighttime lows rarely dip below this threshold without significant synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for 26°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or enhanced evaporative cooling from heavier precipitation, though current observations show no such development imminent.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$37,731Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies consistently project a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 15, 2026, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure patterns, elevated humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling amid widespread cloud cover and light rain. Official guidance places the daily range near 26–29°C, aligning with historical August climatology where nighttime lows rarely dip below this threshold without significant synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for 26°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or enhanced evaporative cooling from heavier precipitation, though current observations show no such development imminent.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$37,731Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological agencies consistently project a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 15, 2026, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure patterns, elevated humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling amid widespread cloud cover and light rain. Official guidance places the daily range near 26–29°C, aligning with historical August climatology where nighttime lows rarely dip below this threshold without significant synoptic shifts. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for 26°C reflects this model agreement and the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-range temperature forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold-air intrusion or enhanced evaporative cooling from heavier precipitation, though current observations show no such development imminent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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