**Trader sentiment for Madrid's August 16 highest temperature centers on 34°C and 35°C (each at 47% implied probability) due to model consensus around a warm but slightly moderated day following peak heat.** Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula has driven recent highs of 36–38°C, with strong insolation, clear skies, and light winds favoring efficient daytime warming under dry summer conditions. Ensemble forecasts from major centers show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud potential that separate a 34°C peak from 35°C, creating near-even odds. Historical August baselines near 32°C provide context, while any late-model shift in steering flow or humidity could tip resolution between these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 16?
35°C 54%
34°C 41%
33°C 4%
36°C 3%
MỚI
$26,543 KL.
MỚI
$26,543 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
41%
35°C
54%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
<1%
35°C 54%
34°C 41%
33°C 4%
36°C 3%
MỚI
$26,543 KL.
MỚI
$26,543 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$309 KL.
<1%
28°C
$792 KL.
<1%
29°C
$153 KL.
<1%
30°C
$163 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,672 KL.
<1%
32°C
$1,831 KL.
<1%
33°C
$3,488 KL.
4%
34°C
$5,125 KL.
41%
35°C
$8,414 KL.
54%
36°C
$3,897 KL.
3%
37°C or higher
$699 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Madrid's August 16 highest temperature centers on 34°C and 35°C (each at 47% implied probability) due to model consensus around a warm but slightly moderated day following peak heat.** Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula has driven recent highs of 36–38°C, with strong insolation, clear skies, and light winds favoring efficient daytime warming under dry summer conditions. Ensemble forecasts from major centers show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud potential that separate a 34°C peak from 35°C, creating near-even odds. Historical August baselines near 32°C provide context, while any late-model shift in steering flow or humidity could tip resolution between these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,543Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Madrid's August 16 highest temperature centers on 34°C and 35°C (each at 47% implied probability) due to model consensus around a warm but slightly moderated day following peak heat.** Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula has driven recent highs of 36–38°C, with strong insolation, clear skies, and light winds favoring efficient daytime warming under dry summer conditions. Ensemble forecasts from major centers show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud potential that separate a 34°C peak from 35°C, creating near-even odds. Historical August baselines near 32°C provide context, while any late-model shift in steering flow or humidity could tip resolution between these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$26,543Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Madrid's August 16 highest temperature centers on 34°C and 35°C (each at 47% implied probability) due to model consensus around a warm but slightly moderated day following peak heat.** Persistent high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula has driven recent highs of 36–38°C, with strong insolation, clear skies, and light winds favoring efficient daytime warming under dry summer conditions. Ensemble forecasts from major centers show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud potential that separate a 34°C peak from 35°C, creating near-even odds. Historical August baselines near 32°C provide context, while any late-model shift in steering flow or humidity could tip resolution between these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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